Kurtosis — Definition, Formula & Examples
Kurtosis is a statistical measure that describes how heavy or light the tails of a distribution are compared to a normal distribution. Higher kurtosis means more data in the extreme tails (more outliers), while lower kurtosis means thinner tails (fewer outliers).
Kurtosis is the standardized fourth central moment of a probability distribution, defined as , where is the fourth central moment and is the standard deviation. Excess kurtosis subtracts 3 (the kurtosis of a normal distribution) so that a normal distribution has excess kurtosis of zero.
Key Formula
Where:
- = Sample size
- = Each individual data value
- = Sample mean
- = Sample standard deviation
How It Works
Kurtosis quantifies the shape of a distribution's tails, not its peakedness (a common misconception). A distribution with excess kurtosis greater than 0 is called leptokurtic — it has heavier tails than a normal distribution, meaning extreme values are more likely. A distribution with excess kurtosis less than 0 is called platykurtic — it has lighter tails. A normal distribution has excess kurtosis exactly 0 and is called mesokurtic. In practice, you compute kurtosis from sample data and compare the result to 0 to judge whether your data has unusually many or few outliers relative to a normal distribution.
Worked Example
Problem: A dataset has 5 values: 2, 4, 4, 4, 8. Compute the population kurtosis and excess kurtosis.
Step 1: Find the mean.
Step 2: Compute the deviations raised to the 2nd and 4th powers, then find the second and fourth central moments.
Step 3: Compute the fourth central moment.
Step 4: Divide to get population kurtosis, then subtract 3 for excess kurtosis.
Answer: The population kurtosis is approximately 2.73, and the excess kurtosis is . Since excess kurtosis is slightly negative, this distribution is mildly platykurtic (lighter tails than a normal distribution).
Why It Matters
Kurtosis is critical in finance for assessing tail risk — a portfolio with high kurtosis faces more frequent extreme gains or losses than a normal model predicts. It also appears in quality control and hypothesis testing when checking whether data follow a normal distribution (normality tests like Jarque-Bera use both skewness and kurtosis).
Common Mistakes
Mistake: Interpreting kurtosis as a measure of how peaked or flat a distribution is.
Correction: Kurtosis measures tail heaviness, not peak height. Distributions with the same kurtosis can have very different peak shapes. Focus on what kurtosis tells you about outlier frequency.
