Alternative Hypothesis — Definition, Formula & Examples
The alternative hypothesis is the claim you are trying to find evidence for in a hypothesis test. It states that a population parameter differs from the value assumed by the null hypothesis — either by being greater, less, or simply not equal.
Denoted (or ), the alternative hypothesis is the statement that the population parameter satisfies a strict inequality relative to the null value (or ). It takes one of three forms: , , or , corresponding to two-tailed or one-tailed tests, respectively.
Key Formula
Where:
- = The alternative hypothesis
- = The true population mean being tested
- = The hypothesized value stated in the null hypothesis
How It Works
Before collecting data, you set up two competing hypotheses: the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis . The null assumes no effect or no difference, while the alternative captures the specific change or effect you suspect. You then gather data and calculate a test statistic. If the data are sufficiently unlikely under , you reject in favor of . The direction of your alternative hypothesis determines whether you run a one-tailed or two-tailed test.
Worked Example
Problem: A coffee shop claims its large cups contain 16 oz of coffee on average. You suspect they are underfilling. Write the null and alternative hypotheses.
Identify the claim to test: You suspect the true mean is less than the advertised 16 oz, so the alternative should reflect a 'less than' direction.
Write the null hypothesis: The null assumes the mean equals the claimed value.
Write the alternative hypothesis: Since you suspect underfilling, use a left-tailed alternative.
Answer: The alternative hypothesis is , indicating a one-tailed (left-tailed) test.
Why It Matters
Every hypothesis test on the AP Statistics exam requires you to state correctly before performing any calculations. Choosing the wrong direction (one-tailed vs. two-tailed) changes your p-value and can lead to an incorrect conclusion. In fields like pharmaceutical research, a properly stated alternative hypothesis determines what kind of evidence is needed to approve a new drug.
Common Mistakes
Mistake: Writing the alternative hypothesis with an equals sign, such as .
Correction: The alternative hypothesis always uses a strict inequality (, , or ). The equals sign belongs only in the null hypothesis .
